Arthur Hayes, one of the experienced names of crypto currency markets, made a bold estimate for Bitcoin. According to Hayes, the former Bitmex CEO and currently at the beginning of the investment fund called Maelstrom, the price of BTC can be up to 250 thousand dollars before the end of 2025. The basis of this ambitious foresight is a major change of direction allegedly experienced in the monetary policy of the US Federal Bank (FED).
FED’s new role: not inflation, but debt finance
Hayes argues in his new analysis article that the FED has now thrown the fight against inflation to the second plan, and that the priority gives the state to finance the increasing burden of debt. According to him, the Fed’s monetary tightening process actually ended, and a period of expansion based on money -printing began. This means a giant opportunity for crypto beings.
“Technology is working and there will be no major change in good or bad in the near future. What affects Bitcoin’s price is the expectations of the markets of the dollar supply,”Hayes says, the biggest obstacle in front of Bitcoin in this new period, he says. According to his own assessment, the BTC made a bottom at 76,500 dollars last month and entered the ascension trend. The target is $ 250,000.
If the money flow increases, Bitcoin continues on its way
Another remarkable point in the analysis is the symbolic scene fictionalized between FED President Jerome Powell and US Treasury Minister Scott Bessent. In this scene, Hayes said that the Fed no longer behaved politically independently; On the contrary, he argues that the government is shaped according to financial plans. According to him, Powell’s messages show that monetary policy is now directed by the Treasury. Hayes says the signals given at the Fed meeting of 19 March support this view. Powell’s announcement that mortgage -backed beings can be reduced, but will be preserved the size of the balance sheet; indirectly reveals that treasury bonds will be given priority. This means that more dollars are put into the market.
Bessent’s latest statements are also remarkable. Stating that the leverage ratio regulations are loosening, banks can receive more government bonds and this will increase liquidity in the markets, Hayes thinks that this environment will support Bitcoin. Hayes, “If my analysis is true, Bitcoin can reach 250 thousand dollars not only with technical indicators until the end of the year, but also with macro winds,”He draws a bold route to investors with his words.
