Current Date:April 4, 2025

Bitcoin’s Tuesday Bloodbath Was the Bottom, Analyst Says

Crypto Market Faces Significant Downturn

The cryptocurrency market witnessed a dramatic decline on Tuesday, with many analysts pointing to various on-chain metrics indicating a potential bottom for bitcoin’s (BTC) price. The total crypto market capitalization is now hovering just above $2.7 trillion, which reflects an astonishing nearly $1 trillion loss since its peak in December 2024, as per data sourced from TradingView.

Several indicators suggest that the sell-off on Tuesday may have signaled a local bottom for the market. Andre Dragosch, the Head of Research at Bitwise Europe, pointed out that the Crypto Asset Sentiment Index has reached its lowest point since August. This decline in sentiment coincided with the unwinding of the yen carry trade, during which bitcoin touched its bottom at approximately $49,000. “The Crypto Asset Sentiment Index just flashed a massive contrarian buy signal for Bitcoin,” Dragosch remarked. “Widespread bearishness across flows, on-chain data, and derivatives suggests that downside risks are fairly limited. At these prices, the risk-reward outlook appears quite favorable.”

On that same day, investors experienced a staggering loss of $1.8 billion—marking the largest single-day realized loss since August. This was largely attributed to the yen carry trade unwinding, which resulted in $3.2 billion in realized losses, according to data from Glassnode. Furthermore, short-term holders, defined by Glassnode as those who have held bitcoin for less than 155 days, transferred a significant 43,600 BTC (valued at $3.9 billion) to exchanges at a loss. This transfer marked the highest level of losses since August 2024.

These metrics are pivotal in recognizing potential market bottoms, suggesting that bitcoin may be approaching a crucial turning point.

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