Crypto money market, inflation data, Federal Reserve, the headlines of Jerome Powell’ın expression will witness a number of important events. This week will be very important for the crypto market because it will encounter macro catalysts like these.
Crypto Money Market CPI A to come out B adds
The first important factor will emerge on Wednesday, February 12, 2025, with the announcement of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on January 16:30. Analysts are waiting for the headline CPI to increase 0.3 %on a monthly basis and 2.9 %on an annual basis. Meanwhile, the Fed’s inflation target remains at 2 %. In other words, these figures, especially 3.2 %core ratio, further policy tightening or higher rates of higher rates can support the argument.
While service prices excluding rent are expected to increase by 4 %on an annual basis, this indicates the slowest speed of the last year. However, the Fed’s long -term comfort level is well above. Since more powerful inflation prints than expected often mean higher bond returns and decreasing risk appetite, a large deviation from these projections can trigger the increasing volatility as a scenario that can cause pressure on Bitcoin and subcoins.
US PPI data will come on Thursday!
On Thursday, February 13, 2025, a new inflation data will be announced with the January Manufacturer Price Index (PPI), which will be announced on TSI 16:30. Expectations that headline PPI will increase by 0.2 %monthly and 1.8 %annually. Any upward surprise in the PPI figures may strengthen the view that inflation is at high levels if the core data exceeds expectations. This can convince Fed to keep interest rates in restrictive settings for longer than the market preferred. Therefore, this may affect sensitivity in the crypto money market.
Jerome Powell will express (Tuesday and Wednesday)
The Fed itself will come to the forefront on Tuesday, February 11 and Wednesday, February 12, President Jerome Powell’s congress committees. Many market participants are waiting for Powell to protect the cautious tone reflected at the January FOMC meeting. Deutsche Bank analysts “probably will remain loyal to the January FOMC scenario. However, the market seems to always receive something new from these views, which contain a large number of congresses and answer. ”
Any clue for policy changes or a long pause can be supportive for Bitcoin and crypto currencies, which tend to get power from more loose monetary conditions. On the contrary, if Powell emphasizes the importance of controlling inflation despite the slow growth risk by showing a more hawk stance, re -sales pressure on Bitcoins and subcoins may occur.
Crypto Money Market is on Thorn: Trump’s customs tariffs (Monday)
On Monday, the markets will distinguish the last plan to move from US President Donald Trump’s extensive customs tariffs to the mutual mutual customs tariffs olan, a policy of matching the taxes imposed by other countries to American goods. Trump’s customs tariffs were quite aggressive with 25 %customs duties applied to goods from Canada and Mexico and 10 %of customs imposed on goods imported from China.
Higher import costs may lead to an increase in domestic prices and limit the Fed’s ability to reduce interest rates. Therefore, these tariffs still increase concerns about inflation. Each time such tariffs are introduced, Bitcoin and crypto money prices tend to fall. Investors prefer to move away from the crypto due to higher inflation risks and a more strict monetary policy.
Crypto currency exchange Coinbase will explain financial data (Thursday)
To complete a busy week, Coinbase will announce its fourth quarter and 2024 earnings all year at 17:30 on Thursday, February 13, 2025. The company’s 2024 third quarter results missed both income and earning estimates. For this reason, the renewed investor confidence may be due to Coinbase’s transaction income and upward surprise in subscription and service revenues.
